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Iraq was clearly the election issue that turned
the tide against Republicans, but one issue that many GOP activists
thought might save the day ended up a bust: immigration.
Hard-liners
in the House stopped comprehensive immigration reform in its tracks
this summer, dealing a blow to the White House. Then they argued this
was good for Republicans because Americans put illegal immigration at
the top of their policy agenda and had no interest in comprehensive
reform. Judging from the election results, the hard-liners were wrong.
In several
high-profile races where illegal immigration was a key issue, the
anti-immigrant candidate lost big. In Arizona, the front line in the
immigration wars, Republicans J.D. Hayworth and Randy Graf lost handily
to more moderate voices. Hayworth, a six-term congressman, once favored
a guest worker program but flip-flopped when he sensed bashing
immigrants was a surer ticket to re-election.
In his book "Whatever It Takes: Illegal Immigration, Border Security
and the War on Terror," Hayworth called for a three-year ban on legal
immigration from Mexico, which would devastate the U.S. agricultural
community and hurt other industries as well. Apparently voters in
Arizona's 5th Congressional District wanted no part of Hayworth's
proposed ban.
Graf, a
former state representative and member of the extremist Minuteman
Project, was even more off base. Graf supported calls to reinstate
"Operation Wetback," a 1950s federal deportation program that not only
rounded up thousands of illegal aliens but also ensnared some U.S.
citizens of Mexican descent. Graf's position garnered him only 42
percent of the vote in a reliably conservative district.
In
Colorado, Republicans' anti-immigrant stance may have cost them the
governor's race in addition to one congressional seat. Rep. Bob
Beauprez, the Republican who gave up his seat to run for governor,
claimed that illegal immigration would prove to be Democrat Bill
Ritter's "Achilles' heel" and spent much of the last few weeks of the
campaign hammering away on the issue. But Colorado's agricultural
economy is heavily dependent on immigrant workers (including illegal
aliens), and Ritter's pro-guest worker position helped him win 56
percent of the vote.
Meanwhile,
Beauprez's open seat went to the Democrat, Ed Perlmutter, despite
Republican candidate Rick O'Donnell's effort to make illegal
immigration a central issue in that campaign as well. O'Donnell
proposed a bizarre plan to draft boys in their last semester of high
school to patrol the U.S.-Mexican border "instead of wasting time in
12th grade," describing his plan as a "society-wide rite of passage
into manhood" that would provide a "sense of adventure and risk."
Needless to say, residents of Colorado's 7th Congressional District
didn't agree.
And perhaps
in the most surprising loss of all, Indiana voters rejected Republican
Rep. John Hostettler, chairman of the House Immigration Subcommittee.
Hostettler led efforts to pass a get-tough bill that included a
provision to make felons of all 12 million illegal aliens living in the
U.S., which was dropped in conference with the Senate. Hostettler —
who, unlike most Republicans, voted against authorizing the Iraq war —
was trounced by his opponent, despite campaign help from a number of
anti-immigration groups and appearances by anti-immigrant luminaries
Phyllis Schlafly and Bay Buchanan.
According
to an Election Day poll by Republican pollster Ed Goeas and Democratic
pollster Doug Schoen, only 8 percent of voters ranked immigration as
their top issue, making it, at best, a second-tier issue. Americans
want a secure border, but a majority supports comprehensive reform as
the best means to stopping illegal immigration.
Americans
also want to make sure illegal aliens don't exploit social services and
aren't given special preferences. Most importantly, they want to ensure
that all immigrants learn English and that government function in
English, as Arizona voters demonstrated by supporting initiatives
dealing with those specific issues on Tuesday.
Now that the people have spoken, maybe the Congress will finally listen and pass comprehensive immigration reform.
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