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Is Iraq in a civil war? Outgoing U.N.
Secretary-General Kofi Annan says the country is on the verge.
President Bush won't go that far but admits the escalating sectarian
violence must be contained. He is meeting with Iraqi Prime Minister
Nouri al-Maliki this week and says he intends to pose the question,
"What is your strategy in dealing with sectarian violence?" But with
blood literally running through the streets of Baghdad as attacks on
Iraqis increased to their highest point since the beginning of the war,
it's a little late to be asking that question.
Whether the
situation in Iraq can be described as civil war or anarchy is
irrelevant. The situation is out of control. And the immediate
responsibility of the United States must be to restore order and
provide at least a minimum of security to the Iraqi people. Yet, the
administration balks at doing the one thing that might achieve that
goal: sending in sufficient American troops to bring the violence under
control.
In a
briefing with columnists this week, Maj. Gen. William Caldwell, U.S.
military spokesman in Iraq, described 2007 as the "key transition
year," when Iraqi forces will come under full Iraqi command, with an
end force strength of some 355,000 trained troops, and when Iraqi
forces will control security for all 18 provinces. But he did not -- he
could not -- promise that this transfer of responsibility will end the
bloodshed in Iraq.
When asked
whether Baghdad could be stabilized with additional troops, Maj. Gen.
Caldwell said that more forces would have a "short-term effect," but
could not maintain security over time. It is the answer the
administration routinely gives: Only Iraqi forces can provide long-term
security for their own nation.
Who can
argue with that? But it is also beside the point. There will be no
long-term for Iraq as we know it unless the short-term situation
dramatically improves. And we have a moral duty to do everything in our
power to see to it that it does.
The
administration seems paralyzed, hoping for some deus ex machina to
rescue it from ignominy in Iraq. The Iraq Study Group, the bipartisan
advisory group headed up by former Secretary of State James Baker and
former Rep. Lee Hamilton, has been meeting behind closed doors at the
White House this week before making its recommendations to the
president for changes in U.S. strategy.
The New
York Times reported that early drafts of the group's recommendations
emphasize aggressive regional diplomacy. And the vice president's visit
to Saudi Arabia on Saturday suggests the administration is ready to
pursue that option.
But the
Saudis, whose Royal Family members have funded terrorist organizations
for decades and promoted the radical brand of Islam that inspires
fanatics worldwide to engage in jihad, are part of the problem, not the
solution. Nor can Syria and Iran be trusted, since each is allied with
separate factions involved in the current violence.
If the
United States abrogates its responsibility to restore order to Iraq, we
can expect more violence in the region, not less. We will have proved
ourselves the paper tiger that our enemies have always accused us of
being.
If we
cannot win a war in a country the size of California against a ragtag
group of criminals and religious zealots, how can we claim to be a
superpower? Even our defeat in Vietnam pales in comparison. But it is
not just the damage to U.S. influence and prestige that is at issue. It
is our claim to moral leadership in the world as well.
The United
States chose to invade Iraq, as it turns out, on the basis of faulty
intelligence. Having done so, we have a moral duty to leave the country
no worse off than we found it. We cannot leave Iraq until Iraqis can go
about their daily lives without fear that they will be blown up,
abducted, beheaded or terrorized in their homes, at work and at prayer.
Until we solve the short-term crisis, there will be no long-term
solution.
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